Forecasting Commodities Market

Raymond Raud

July, 1997

Forecasting commodities market is technically challenging and potentially profitable research topic. Having experimented with statistical modeling methods and tools (specifically various neural networks) for some time. The conclusions from this effort are published on the following pages.

The purpose of this page is to provoke discussion rather than sell products or services. If you are looking for shopping pleasure, then this page is not for you. If you have interest in the subject and are willing to stretch your brain, then there may be something.

While researching for one topic one can't avoid touching others. Treat the first two as a background introduction to the last two. Here are the categories covered:

Trading the markets
Market timing tools and methods
Valuable knowledge in price movement data
Application of Neural Networks for market forecasting

I welcome questions and discussion on any of conclusions and assumptions.
Please drop me an e-mail, thank you.
Raymond Raud